Investing strategies can often become so focused on established players that they neglect emerging opportunities in the market. In the coming year, it would be prudent for investors to reconsider their approach, particularly in light of insights from John Davi, the CEO and chief investment officer of Astoria Portfolio Advisors. Rather than sticking exclusively to large-cap stock funds, Davi suggests that diversification into smaller caps and other niches may yield more favorable returns.
Davi’s remarks, shared during a recent CNBC interview, highlight a critical shift in investor behavior. The substantial liquidity that has poured into S&P 500 index funds is understandably attractive, but this enthusiasm could hinder optimal investment returns. Davi articulates a more tempered outlook on large-cap stocks, advising investors to explore potential growth opportunities outside the tech giants that have dominated the market narrative in recent years.
He acknowledges that while the tech sector has undeniably provided returns, it potentially does not reflect the entire spectrum of investment opportunities available today. For example, Astoria’s focus on smaller companies is rooted in the belief that many of these firms are exhibiting robust growth trends that could outperform their larger counterparts. Components of a diversified ETF portfolio may strategically include funds like the ALPS O’Shares US Small-Cap Quality Dividend ETF (OUSM) and the WisdomTree U.S. SmallCap Quality Dividend Growth Fund (DGRS), which are both showcasing their growth potential despite trailing behind the S&P 500.
There are several compelling reasons behind Astoria’s pivot to recommending small-cap funds. Firstly, many major tech firms have reached valuations that appear inflated, steering investors toward smaller companies that are not just potentially undervalued but also innovating at a faster pace. As Davi states, “There are actually a lot of companies that are growing faster than the Magnificent Seven,” referring to the largest and most influential tech companies in the market. This underscores the emerging narrative that growth potential isn’t exclusive to just the prominent players.
Moreover, due to shifts in regulation and market dynamics, it is believed that small-cap companies can offer a more stable growth platform during volatile economic conditions. Small-cap stocks tend to be more resilient against economic downturns and asymmetric shocks, making them an attractive proposition for investors looking for balance in their portfolios without resorting to excessively defensive plays.
Additionally, the potential for regulatory reforms resulting from political shifts plays a significant role in shaping investment strategies. With the electoral landscape changing, particularly with Donald Trump’s policies poised to impact sectors like banking, funds such as the Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) and AltShares Merger Arbitrage ETF (ARB) come into focus. Davi suggests that these funds stand to benefit significantly from reduced regulations, possibly igniting substantial growth in the financial sector. The KBWB has already responded favorably to the elections, gaining approximately 14% in November, a telling sign of investor optimism regarding these areas of the market.
However, while the prospects for funds like ARB remain uncertain, they present another angle on how a favorable regulatory environment could facilitate increased merger activities. If successful, this could lead to expanding interest and asset inflows into such ETFs, enhancing their attractiveness in any diversified portfolio.
As much as traditional equity sectors are gaining attention, alternative investments like cryptocurrencies are emerging as a pivotal area for exploration among investors. The Bitwise Ethereum ETF (ETHW) has caught the eye of Astoria, which perceives potential upside as Ethereum’s price rebounds from significant lows. Additionally, with cryptocurrency use escalating and more infrastructure being built around blockchain technology, further regulation under a new administration could lead to additional crypto funds entering the market.
Davi notes the intriguing possibility of Ethereum experiencing a “catch-up rally” as investors seek assets with higher growth potential in the crypto ecosystem. The shifting sentiment toward cryptocurrencies invites investors to think critically about diversifying into these digital assets, especially as regulations may become more favorable.
Emphasizing diversification across sectors and asset classes, as well as staying attuned to market narratives, can help investors navigate an uncertain landscape ahead. While large-cap stocks will always have their place, the current environment suggests that the time is ripe to thoughtfully explore smaller, potentially faster-growing companies, assess the shifts in regulatory landscapes, and keep an eye on emerging asset classes such as cryptocurrencies. By embracing a holistic approach to investment, one can identify unique opportunities that may provide superior returns in 2024 and beyond.